I think the recent referendum in Britain is an example of asymmetric outcomes. In a small serendipity, in college, my senior essay was on the economic impact of the EU. (In another small serendipity, my advisor was Rick Levin, who chaired the Economics Department and later became Yale’s President. No, he didn’t remember me when I shook his hand a few years ago.)
In that paper, I argued that the EU was due to fail due to economic asymmetry. All countries would benefit from more free trade, I wrote, but some would benefit more than others. And, free trade would create havoc in certain nations as wholesale industries eclipsed. Could democracies gut it out, as many citizens lose work?
What I missed, however, was that asymmetries may exist within a country. Britain has done well with more free trade, but the benefits don’t seem to have trickled down to everyone is my sense. I think that explains why Cameron is out and folks like Trump and Sanders catch the eye of a voter. There’s a real human cost to free trade which doesn’t seem that free to some.
Free trade means that a country can progress and do better, but that jobs will disappear and move offshore. The bet is that people will retrain themselves and be willing to move for a new job.
In a slow growth environment wherein a tide isn’t lifting all boats, the environment will feel very zero sum. There are not many new jobs to which people can go. So, the anti-immigration sentiment in the western nations will only grow, IMO. That’s the political reality.
I do hope we all try to “rise above” politics and create an economic environment that is pro growth and also offers a safety net for others.
I’ve become a fan of raising the national minimum wage. That feels more efficient to me than empowering the federal government. I know a higher minimum wage has some costs if you believe the demand for labor is elastic. My view is that demand for certain types of labor is inelastic. I’m thinking of local based services jobs such as restaurants and retail. You cannot offshore those. You need people on site.
I don’t have any short term perfect answers. My fear is that if we don’t assuage the broader population, we are on the road to an unstable political situation that may ultimately lead to revolution.
I’ve blogged before that every empire comes to an end. It starts when people cannot provide for themselves or their children. That is when they become angry and begin to contemplate violence.
Sorry to buzz kill your Friday.
I am attempting to bike up one of the peaks in the Spanish Pyrenees. Things aren’t going well.
I’ve been biking for a few hours, straight uphill. The grade is getting steeper. I have hours to go. I’m feeling tense and frustrated. I’m wondering if I will make it. So, I do the only thing that I think I can do.
In the morning, the Backroads leaders gave us all a “route rap.” They showed us where the cycling routes were going to be for the day. They offered three options, which varied by length and altitude climb: short, medium, or long.
The leaders were encouraging but blunt. The long option is doable but very challenging. A very long ride with a significant altitude change. We start at the bottom of the mountain and go to the summit.
I decided to go for the long option. There aren’t many of us who did. But, I wanted to do each day’s long option. My thinking is that I didn’t know if I would ever be back in the Spanish Pyrenees to cycle. And, if I did, would I be able to do the challenging courses later in life?
We filled our water bottles and packed snacks. The air was cold. Everyone layered up and jumped on their bicycles. We pushed off.
My pace was slow. Our youngest child was on a bike attachment, which was linked to mine. So, I’m pulling for two. All the other riders zipped by. The route started flat, but began to climb.
At the first check-in point, most of the younger riders stopped and jumped into the Backroads van for a ride to the summit. Our child felt cold and asked to get off, too. I removed her bike attachment.
So, I then began to ride solo. I felt my pace was faster, but, then, I had a flat tire. So, I fell further behind.
Once the tire was swapped out, I jumped back on. And, the road continued to get steeper.
So, I breathe. I take 10 deep breaths. I feel better. My heart rate goes down, my legs feel more fresh.
My mind starts to wander. I start to think about a particular work issue. I start to wonder how I will feel if I give up. I can feel myself tense up.
The pain in my back gets sharper and sharper. It comes from being hunched over and holding bicycle handles for hours. My wrists and fingers are numb.
The pressure on my lower extremities from the bike seat grows. It’s called perineum pain, and it affects men. I feel that I have a very painful toothache emanating from near my private parts. It is a very deep and throbbing pain.
I am gritting my teeth now. I am praying that I don’t get a back spasm. I wonder why a person who last biked two years ago is doing the long option. I start to criticize myself. Most of the riders didn’t pick the long option, and here I am, a middle-aged guy, doing too much. My Imposter Syndrome has kicked in.
So, I breathe more. But, it isn’t working as well. I’m still feeling a lot of discomfort and the road is getting even steeper.
There’s another check-in point on the side of the road. Most of the other riders are there. They’re all jumping in the van for a ride up. I decide to keep going, alone.
I don’t know why. There was no shame in stopping. It would be fun to ride in the van with the others.
But, I wanted to try and get to the summit on my own.
I for a period of time was very intrigued by the training that Navy SEALs do. Only 15% or so of candidates graduate from the grueling training program. The books talked about how making it through was a mental game. You have to be strong and fit, etc., but the soldiers who graduated were the mentally toughest ones.
A friend of mine was in the Israeli special forces. He said to me: “People in The Unit don’t look special. They’re not the tallest or the most muscular. In fact, they look like ‘regular’ people. But, they’re mentally tough.”
My back continues to tighten. The sun is out now in full force. I’m high up in altitude, and the heat is going up. The bottom half of my body feels like it’s going to explode. So, I pull off the road to drink some water.
I get back on the bike. I remember the books and conversations about the special forces. I tell myself that this is a mental game, that my biggest obstacle is myself.
I start to talk to myself inside my head: “Just choose not to feel the pain.” So, that’s what I do. The pain doesn’t exist. I don’t feel it.
Amazingly, the pain ebbs. So, I keep pedaling.
I remember a meditation workshop that I attended some years ago. It focused on observing life without judging it. The instructors asked us to do some relaxation breathing and focus on just being vs. allowing our minds to wander, worry, and ruminate.
I look up. The windy road looks endless. I look at my GPS device. I realize that I have a ton of distance left to go. I feel pretty down.
So, I decided to ignore my GPS device and the road. I decided to look down at my front tire and just focus on that. One pedal rotation at a time.
I breathe more. I lower my heart rate and try to avoid going into an anaerobic state. The air is thin up here, but I keep inhaling. Pedal, breathe, pedal, breathe. A steady cadence.
More time passes. As I bike further up, there’s almost no car traffic. So, I’m largely alone, but for the steady sounds of bird chirps and my bike tires on the road. Every small sound seems to be magnified.
Gradually, the trees get smaller. I realize I’m almost above the tree line. The landscape begins to change, with more open fields. I turn a bend, and a cold and strong wind hits me. I’m in a desolate place. I feel my energy dip. This headwind is going to be tough.
I think of my friend Chris Durbin, who ran the Boston Marathon in memory of his mother. I then think of my mother. Suddenly, from deep within, I begin sobbing. It’s over in 10 seconds.
“Where did that come from?” I thought. But, I don’t want to think. I just need to keep going. I turn off my mind.
I pedal and try to keep my front tire on the white painted line that marks the edge of the road. I keep my head down.
Up and up.
Thankfully, the landscape flattens a little bit. I get to the top of what is a chair lift for a ski resort.
But, I still have a ways to go. From far away, I see a Backroads van parked on the side of the road, at the summit. So close, yet so far. I try not to look at it. It’s a small white speck in the distance.
I stare at my tire and pedal. I erase the thoughts in my head. I just watch the tire move.
And, I get there. Eventually, with little fanfare, with no emotion, I reach the top. The wind is strong. I then feel relieved, happy, and utterly emptied.
A little bit before that, a Backroads leader came up to me to see how I was doing. She said: “You’re not winded.”
“No. I feel tired, though.”
“This long option isn’t about physical fitness,” she said. “You have to be fit enough, sure. But, we find that the biggest challenge is mental.”
I smile. “I know,” I said.
This was a fun trip. Over five-equivalent days, I biked about 240 miles, some of it on very steep inclines. It was both very challenging and very rewarding.
Our Backroads leaders were great, the food and wine were delicious, and we met some other families who share our interests in travel and fitness.
Tonight at dinner, one of my children and I talked about the beautiful scenery we saw. What do the Spanish Pyrenees conjure for me? It is a series of snapshots:
- Rolling and verdant hills
- Rivers and streams
- Fields of corn, wheat, apple trees and wild flowers
- Herds of cows, sheeps and goats
- Majestic mountains and peaks still filled with snow
- Cold wind
- Bells of churches gently clanging to mark the times
- Hot sun
- Winding roads that switch back and forth up mountains
- Smiling children
- Strong espresso
- Sweet strawberries and peaches
- Jokes and guffaws at dinner
- And, everywhere and all around you, incredibly fresh and clean air
A family bike trip is filled with many good and vivid memories: sights, smells, and sounds. I feel very grateful!
And, I got great tan lines on my arms.
We were in Spain and have just returned home.
It was a fun week-long bicycling trip in the Pyrenees and the coastal section of northeastern Spain. We went with Backroads and had some incredible trip leaders and met some extremely interesting families.
Also, the locals were very friendly and the scenery was breathtaking. There’s nothing like cycling 40 to 50 miles each day and having some amazing local food and wine for dinner.
Some of the rides up into the Pyrenees were very challenging. I wasn’t a very fast rider, but I every day opted for the longest route and finished. It was very fulfilling. I also enjoyed learning a little Spanish and Catalan.
I’m pretty tired right now from the long flight. I will blog more about the trip in the coming days, but I will leave you with the pictures below.
It’s been an intense seven days.
Went to the high school graduation of our oldest child. I felt a great deal of pride and sadness. I was expecting the former and was surprised by the latter.
I had some work meetings that were very fulfilling. Had one that was insanely stressful, but am glad that everything seems to be working out. Had some great conversations with Eric as we worked through some portfolio company issues. It’s a source of great joy that we work well together.
And, honestly, I right now have the very real feeling that, well, I’m aging. My doctor says that I’m in great health. I go in for a physical annually, and she always says that my blood test stats and resting heart rate are ridiculously good. I exercise daily and have healthy eating habits. So, physically, I feel young.
But, I mentally am feeling much, much older.
Our son’s school had all of the parents of the graduating seniors meet last month with a psychiatrist who specializes in adolescence. He told us about what our sons were feeling and what they needed most from us as they transition to college. He also told us to be aware that we were going to feel some stress and a sense of loss.
Boy, do I ever.
So, this being a Friday, I decided to do a late lunch at one of my favorite sushi places, the original Oishii Sushi place, the hole-in-a-wall spot in Chestnut Hill.
Spicy tuna and salmon handrolls? Yes, please. Some sushi from the specials menu, like amadai, geoduck, aji, Hokkaido uni? Of course.
So, yes, I guess this is food therapy. I’m good with that.
As I sat there eating happily and sipping green tea, I realized that I hadn’t been there in a few years. The restaurant looks the same. The fish was as impeccable as always. The owner was there. But, I realized that I’ve changed.
And, change keeps coming. Our 2nd child is a rising high school senior. So, we will go through another year of very happy moments and goodbyes. She recently invited her class over to our house. A classmate, sadly, is moving to London. So, they threw her a surprise party. A sub-group of the class did all of the work for the party: the planning, the buying, the set-up, the clean-up. I was impressed.
With time seemingly so fleeting, I actually changed my work schedule to be there. “I’m not going to miss a chance to make memories,” I thought.
I’m so glad I did. At one point, they unveiled a cake for the guest. Spontaneously, the class formed a circle and started to sing a song. It’s Adele’s “Someone Like You.” I was there to record it (see below, or, click here).
Another very happy memory with one of my children. As the adage says, you always can make more money, but, you cannot ever make more time.